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Prediction markets

10 active markets · category “Fed”

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What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Productivity
Productivity91%
Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet85%36 more
$134KVol. Jul 29fed
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting
October Meeting72%
September Meeting
September Meeting69%3 more
$1.72MVol. Oct 29fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other
Other66%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause32%7 more
$631KVol. Sep 16fed
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

0
21%YesNo
1
21%YesNo
$61KVol. Jul 29fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps)37%
2 (50 bps)32%4 more
$69KVol. Dec 31fed
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

No change61%
25 bps increase24%3 more
$363KVol. Oct 28fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other
Other68%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause22%7 more
$583KVol. Oct 28fed
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

9%

chance

YesNo
$5.8KVol. Dec 31fed
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$457.43Vol. Dec 31fed
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

3%

chance

YesNo
$318KVol. Dec 31fed